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1. #PUBLIC BETTING PERCENTAGES FOR FREE#
2. #PUBLIC BETTING PERCENTAGES PROFESSIONAL#
3. #PUBLIC BETTING PERCENTAGES SIMULATOR#

Creating this alleged balance allows them to make a guaranteed profit from the juice.īut as discussed before, bookmakers worry more about where the sharps bet than simply creating a balanced line. Why Should You Care about Sharp Bettors?Ī common belief about sportsbooks is that they set their lines to attract equal action on both sides. Meanwhile, the sharp remains hidden behind the scenes while still winning profits. One way that pros accomplish this is by using “runners” to place bets for them.Ī runner creates the ruse that they’re an amateur high roller who’s looking for action. It’s for these reasons why sharps are careful with their wagering patterns so as to not attract much attention. These methods include limiting suspected pros’ max wagers, restricting them from betting on certain sports, or simply banning them.

#PUBLIC BETTING PERCENTAGES PROFESSIONAL#

Some betting sites hate professional action and take various steps to thwart sharps’ efforts. Oddsmakers take great care to ensure that they know where sharp money is and move lines accordingly. This becomes a serious problem for bookmakers when they’re on the wrong side of a balanced line. Although outnumbered by the public, they usually make larger bets and can heavily tilt the action to one side. A syndicate can collectively bet in such a way that they manipulate sportsbooks into moving their lines, opening up better opportunity for sharps.īoth individual pros and syndicates can create problems for sportsbooks. Sharps sometimes work in groups called “syndicates” to accomplish their goals. This is why sharps often bet the underdog when they think the price is right. It’s not uncommon to see 65% to 80% of the public backing a favorite.īut just because favorites win the majority of games doesn’t mean that they offer the most value.

The public usually bets on favorites, because they want the best-possible chance of winning their wagers. They make bets based on hunches, don’t have a bankroll plan, and have no clue on sussing out line value. the public or “squares”) are on the opposite end of the spectrum.

#PUBLIC BETTING PERCENTAGES FOR FREE#

#PUBLIC BETTING PERCENTAGES SIMULATOR#

Bet Simulator - Simulate thousands of bets using a variable or fixed bet sizing with various ROIs to determine your expected variance and bankroll growth going forward.

T-Test Calculator - Find out if a variable or winrate is statistically signifcant or not.Confidence Interval Calculator - Calculate a 95% confidence interval for your winrate to give you an idea of what your expected winrate in the future may be.Line Shopping Calculator - Compare betting lines between sharp and square books to see if you found a +EV bet and calculate an optimal kelly bet size at the square book if you did.Hedge Calculator - Solve for the optimal hedge amount to maximize the expected growth of your bankroll.Vig Free Line Calculator - Figure out how much vigorish you are paying on a particular bet and solve for the implied win percentage of each team.